Pauline Hanson Overtakes Anthony Albanese in Major National Poll Surge

Melbourne, June 14: A major national opinion poll has delivered a significant political shock in Australia, with Pauline Hanson overtaking Prime Minister Anthony Albanese in preferred prime minister ratings, while her party, One Nation, has surged to the top of the primary vote for the first time.

The latest Resolve Political Monitor, published for The Sydney Morning Herald, surveyed 1,801 voters between June 8 and 13, with a margin of error of 2.3 per cent. The results indicate a notable shift in voter sentiment across the country.

According to the poll, One Nation has climbed to 29 per cent in the primary vote, marking a five-point increase in just one month. The Labor Party stands at 28 per cent after a slight one-point decline, while the Coalition has fallen to 20 per cent—its lowest recorded level in the survey, down three points outside the margin of error.

In the preferred prime minister category, Pauline Hanson leads with 33 per cent support, ahead of Anthony Albanese on 29 per cent. Around 22 per cent of respondents remain undecided, highlighting continued volatility in voter preferences.

Opposition Leader Angus Taylor trails further behind, recording 16 per cent support.

In a head-to-head comparison between Albanese and Taylor, the Prime Minister leads narrowly with 31 per cent, while Taylor sits at 32 per cent, with 36 per cent of voters still undecided.

Resolve pollster Jim Reed said the shift reflects broader changes in voter behaviour and expanding appeal for One Nation beyond its traditional base. He noted that the party’s support is not limited to older voters, but is increasingly seen among diverse demographic groups, including some migrant communities.

He also described a “drawbridge effect,” where segments of migrant voters express concern over high levels of immigration, contributing to One Nation’s rising support.

On leadership performance ratings, 35 per cent of respondents said Albanese was doing a good or very good job, while 55 per cent rated his performance negatively. Angus Taylor received 38 per cent positive and 32 per cent negative ratings, with a significant share of respondents still undecided.

The results highlight growing political fragmentation in Australia, with traditional two-party dominance under pressure as minor parties gain ground and voter sentiment becomes increasingly unpredictable.